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Current Win Probability
Millonarios 53.6%
Draw 27.8%
Patriotas 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
23.5%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
22.9%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millonarios's form might have worsened.
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patriotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Millonarios - Patriotas Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Montero A. (G) 4. Vargas J. P. (C) 6. Mosquera S. 20. Banguero D. 34. Navarro S. 7. Charrupi F. 10. Catano D. 24. Welch J. 15. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 16. Valencia J. 23. Castro L.
32. Valencia J. (G) 5. Rodas M. 20. Ruiz D. 21. Guerrero J. 28. Garcia J. 4. Alarcon A. (C) 7. Moreno S. 24. Victoria Palacios D. S. 10. Viveros J. 19. Borja C. 22. Londono F.
Substitutes
1. Arboleda I. (G) 9. Falcao R. 32. Giordana S. 26. Llinas A. 11. Mantilla D. 77. Palacios K. 28. Vega S.
2. Arce J. 13. Aristizabal Juan 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 17. Charris C. 6. Diaz J. 9. Rodriguez J. 1. Roman S. (G)
Coaches
Gamero A.
Rivera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Garcia J. 🟨,
28', Welch J. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
30', Charrupi F. 🟨,
38', Alarcon A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Valencia J. ⚽, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. (A),
45+2', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Castro L. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Falcao R. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
57', Guerrero J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
58', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Bello Vivas S. E. ↑,
59', Moreno S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
71', Diaz J. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Catano D. ⚽, Vargas J. P. (A),
77', Catano D. ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
77', Valencia J. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
77', Borja C. ↓, Aristizabal Juan ↑,
77', Garcia J. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
82', Palacios K. 🟨,
83', Charrupi F. ↓, Llinas A. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Patriotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Millonarios is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 36-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Millonarios won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-0.
Colombia
South-america
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World
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Montero A. (G) 
Vargas J. P. (C) 
Welch J. 
Giordana S. 
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