The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patriotas 47.9%
Draw 29.7%
Envigado 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
30.4%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
24.4%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patriotas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Envigado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Patriotas - Envigado Predictions
Users Predictions:
Patriotas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 20. Ruiz D. 5. Rodas M. 28. Garcia J. 25. De Las Salas C. 4. Alarcon A. (C) 34. Victoria Palacios D. S. 9. Rodriguez J. 22. Londono F. 10. Viveros J. 19. Borja C.
23. Parra J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 6. Palacio J. 5. Norena S. 2. Palacios D. 14. Jaramillo F. 25. Perez A. 32. Maya K. 26. Arcila D. 34. Diaz L. 7. Cuesta J.
Substitutes
2. Arce J. 13. Aristizabal Juan 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 6. Diaz J. 27. Melendez A. 7. Moreno S. 1. Roman S. (G)
4. Arboleda C. 88. Escobar R. (G) 10. Garces J. 18. Hurtado W. 37. Murillo B. 8. Pabon D. 16. Villa J.
Coaches
Rivera H.
Marquez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Arcila D. 🟨,
41', Palacios D. 🟨,
45+2', Alarcon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Perez A. ↓, Villa J. ↑,
55', Londono F. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Borja C. ⚽,
60', Borja C. 🟨,
64', Arcila D. ↓, Pabon D. ↑,
69', Rodriguez J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
71', Palacio J. 🟨,
73', Cuesta J. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
73', Diaz L. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
82', Maya K. ↓, Murillo B. ↑,
84', Borja C. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Melendez A. ⚽,
89', Perea J. 🟨,
90+1', Cuervo S. 🟨,
90+4', Garcia J. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 0.
Recent matches Patriotas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Envigado is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Envigado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Envigado have a series of guest games.
In this match Patriotas is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.
Colombia
South-america
World
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Valencia J. (G) 
Perez A. 
Escobar R. (G) 
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