Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Espinosa D. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports, Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
South-america	ViX Latin America
World	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Deportivo La Equidad

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	3	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.87
	2.65	2.9	2.95	Watch
	2.77	2.83	3.08
	2.69	2.76	3.02
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.56	2.95	2.94	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)	2.86 ↓ (2.94)	2.95 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
35.6%

Draw
32.7%

Deportivo La Equidad
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.7%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

32.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). La Equidad will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 20. Ruiz D. 5. Rodas M. 28. Garcia J. 16. Correa B. 4. Alarcon A. 24. Victoria Palacios D. S. 7. Moreno S. 22. Londono F. 10. Viveros J. 19. Martinez C.	1. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 29. Riascos L. 5. Payares M. 4. Palacios J. 3. Correa A. 21. Gomez S. 14. Acosta F. 24. Mahecha J. 22. Camacho D. 19. Castillo D. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D.
Substitutes
2. Arce J. 13. Aristizabal Juan 17. Charris C. 6. Diaz J. 21. Guerrero J. 9. Rodriguez J. 1. Roman S. (G)	9. Carvajal J. 15. Ceballos J. 20. Lloreda J. 12. Perez A. (G) 2. Polanco D. 17. Ricardo E. 26. Torralvo A.
Coaches
Rivera H.	Garcia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Riascos L. 🟥,
13', Correa B. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Castillo D. ↓, Ricardo E. ↑,
60', Moreno S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
61', Correa A. 🟨,
70', Mahecha J. 🟨,
76', Viveros J. ↓, Charris C. ↑,
76', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Aristizabal Juan ↑,
79', Valencia J. 🟨,
83', Camacho D. ↓, Torralvo A. ↑,
90+5', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Carvajal J. ↑,
90+5', Acosta F. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
90+7', Ortega Olivera W. J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 0.

Patriotas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches La Equidad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
19.08.24	Patriotas - Once Caldas	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Atlético Nacional - Patriotas	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Patriotas - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
30.07.24	Rionegro Águilas - Patriotas	3:2 ✺
23.07.24	Patriotas - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTLL
- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
17.08.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad	5:1 ✺
03.08.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
30.07.24	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
18.02.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	1:0
05.09.22	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	2:3
31.07.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	4:3
05.03.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	1:1
06.02.22	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	0:1
16.10.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	1:3
01.08.21	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0

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