Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 5

Date: 8 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)


	Patriotas		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.38	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	3.11	3	2.4
	3.32	3.05	2.48
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.38	3.25	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 (3.15)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	2.33 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
29.6%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético Nacional
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	38.5%	53.8%

Patriotas - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 15. Roa S. 5. Rodas M. 33. Payares L. 25. De Las Salas C. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 4. Alarcon A. 6. Diaz J. 8. Castano M. 28. Mosquera C. 9. Cordoba S.	30. Rojas S. (G) 23. Arias J. J. 16. Mosquera S. 3. Aguirre Tabares J. F. (C) 17. Salazar A. 26. Cano A. 14. Mejia R. 4. Sierra C. 18. Ocampo E. 24. Ramirez E. 19. Mantilla D.
Substitutes
23. Angulo Garces K. J. 26. Caicedo J. 17. Charris C. 30. Rivas I. 1. Roman S. (G) 27. Sarria E. 13. Silva G.	15. Alvarez Wallace A. 42. Amaya J. 77. Angulo A. 1. Castillo H. (G) 9. Duque J. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 13. Torres Patino J. P.
Coaches
Rivera H.	Bodmer J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 0.

Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patriotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 23-54.

Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
03.02.24	América de Cali - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
30.01.24	Patriotas - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
25.01.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	2:0 ✺
19.01.24	Patriotas - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
28.11.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
04.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
01.02.24	Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	4:1 ✺
21.01.24	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
26.09.22	Atlético Nacional - Patriotas	1:0
02.04.22	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	0:2
Colombian Copa
02.09.21	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	1:2
26.08.21	Atlético Nacional - Patriotas	3:0
Colombian Primera A
15.08.21	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	0:3
18.04.21	Atlético Nacional - Patriotas	7:1
25.10.20	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	2:1

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