The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patriotas 69.2%
Draw 20.8%
Boca Juniors de Cali 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
25.5%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
24.6%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patriotas's performance.
Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patriotas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Patriotas - Boca Juniors de Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 17. Angulo H. 7. Campana J. 2. Carabali 19. Figueroa F. 30. Gomez M. 4. Hurtado J. 14. Montes J. 22. Porras A. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A.
12. Obando E. (G) 5. Angulo Perlaza H. 11. Beitar D. 7. Cuero J. 31. Diaz D. 35. Hurtado K. 20. Moran Y. 18. Mosquera H. 6. Perez L. 21. Urrutia P. 25. Vasco J.
Substitutes
23. Barahora J. 12. Espitia J. (G) 9. Fernandez B. 16. Molina T. 27. Mora A. 15. Ordonez D. 28. Salguero Zapata C. S. 29. Sanchez J. 6. Torres F.
22. Arce J. 9. Caicedo J. 14. Chara G. 1. Hoyos S. (G) 2. Montano J. 17. Reina H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
17', 1 - 0, Gomez M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Urrutia P. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Angulo Perlaza H. ⚽,
35', Figueroa F. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
42', Reina H. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
45+2', 2 - 2, Alvarez K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Caicedo J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
63', Gomez M. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
63', Montes J. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Alvarez K. ⚽,
72', Diaz D. ↓, Chara G. ↑,
82', Vasco J. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Urrutia P. ⚽,
88', Campana J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
90+1', Carabali 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3.
Patriotas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Boca Juniors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Patriotas is the clear favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
Colombia
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Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 
Figueroa F. 
Barahora J. 
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