The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boca Juniors de Cali 43.8%
Draw 30.9%
Leones 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
27.4%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
26.7%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors de Cali's form might have worsened.
Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Boca Juniors de Cali - Leones Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Obando E. (G) 5. Angulo Perlaza H. 11. Beitar D. 7. Cuero J. 35. Hurtado K. 20. Moran Y. 18. Mosquera H. 26. Ortiz H. 6. Perez L. 17. Reina H. 21. Urrutia P.
1. Holguin C. (G) 12. Arboleda M. 27. Castano J. 28. Hincapie Ossa J. F. 33. Lopez Posada I. 5. Meneses G. 15. Pena J. 26. Posada S. 16. Renteria J. 18. Restrepo N. 21. Segura O.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo J. 14. Chara G. 31. Diaz D. 1. Hoyos S. (G) 16. Lucumi M. 2. Montano J. 13. Nagles F. 24. Palacios E. 8. Vallejo J.
17. Gonzalez A. 3. Marmolejo D. 24. Montoya S. 13. Moreno D. 22. Restrepo J. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Urrutia P. ⚽,
20', Renteria J. 🟨,
42', Renteria J. ↓, Marmolejo D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Posada S. ↓, Restrepo J. ↑,
46', Pena J. ↓, Rodriguez Cespedes C. ↑,
49', Hincapie Ossa J. F. 🟨,
59', Segura O. 🟨,
61', Lopez Posada I. 🟥,
61', Palacios L. 🟨,
65', Reina H. 🟨,
66', Castano J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
68', 🟨,
76', Segura O. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
79', Cuero J. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
82', Reina H. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Ortiz H. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
Colombia
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Obando E. (G) 
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