The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 62.8%
Draw 24.9%
Deportivo La Equidad 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
25.6%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
24.9%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). La Equidad will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for La Equidad: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo La Equidad will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (C) 22. Perlaza E. 18. Olivera E. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 32. Mafla C. 14. Torres J. 16. Torres D. 10. Zapata A. 23. Mosquera H. 11. Rodallega H. 8. Fernandez O.
1. Beltran E. (G) 14. Colorado J. 4. Rodas M. 2. Vivas C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 10. Mayo S. 15. Quinones D. 23. Castilla J. 30. Parra Atehortua K. 18. Bolivar J.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 34. Balanta M. 28. Lopez E. 31. Molina T. 19. Mora A. 90. Moreno Y. 9. Rodriguez A. 6. Sosa J. 25. Tamayo S.
17. Chaverra F. 21. Gomez S. 11. Gonzalez F. 31. Julio R. 8. Monaco M. 16. Montano B. 22. Pena Zabaleta D. 34. Santamaria M. 9. Valencia J.
Coaches
Bava J.
Merino D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Torres J. 🟨,
42', Fernandez O. 🟨,
42', Rodallega H. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Torres J. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
62', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Fernandez O. ⚽, Mafla C. (A),
66', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
66', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Zapata A. ⚽, Molina T. (A),
74', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
76', Mosquera H. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
76', Rodallega H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
85', Colorado J. ↓, Santamaria M. ↑,
85', Quinones D. 🟨,
85', Rodas M. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
86', Mafla C. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
86', Fernandez O. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
Santa Fe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
La Equidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Santa Fe is the clear favorite.
We predict that Santa Fe will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
Colombia
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Mosquera A. (C) 
Olivera E. 
Vivas C. 
Sosa J. 
Merino D. 
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