Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)


	Patronato Parana		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.85	4.00
	2.05	2.87	3.75
	2.50	2.90	3.00	Watch
	2.45	2.97	3.38
	2.31	2.99	3.37	Watch
	2.13	3.05	3.70
	2.05	2.87	4.31
	2.08	2.85	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.46)	2.92 ↑ (2.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
42.4%

Draw
32.1%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

33.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

33.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Rueda W. 2. Diaz G. (C) 6. Piccioni S. 3. Genez N. 8. Salas J. 7. Miro A. 5. Picco A. 11. Pereyra V. L. 9. Diaz D. 10. Soldano F.	1. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Ostachuk P. 6. Galeano L. 3. Sosa R. 5. Rivero B. 8. Castro Ponce T. 7. Rodriguez I. 11. Dramisino A. 10. Puch J. 9. Castro F.
Substitutes
20. Attis T. 16. Barinaga J. P. 18. Bravo B. 17. Cortes B. 15. Diaz F. N. 14. Heredia F. 13. Moreyra F. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 19. Rivero H.	16. Bernardi C. 17. Bisanz F. 14. Mendoza G. 20. Miranda G. 19. Morales A. 13. Pasini S. U. 48. Potense G. 12. Rago F. (G) 15. Urtasun Nahuel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Diaz G. ⚽, Miro A. (A),
30', Picco A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Miro A. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
46', Genez N. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
52', Puch J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
56', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
65', Dramisino A. ↓, Miranda G. ↑,
67', Rueda W. 🟨,
71', Diaz D. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
74', Salas J. ↓, Bravo B. ↑,
79', Sosa R. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Cortes B. ⚽, Pereyra V. L. (A),
87', Rueda W. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
89', Sosa A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Patronato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Patronato Parana - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.93%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.08.26	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Colón - Patronato Parana	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Colegiales - Patronato Parana	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Patronato Parana - Quilmes	3:3 ✺
26.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTTL
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.08.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Temperley	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Maipú - Atlanta Buenos Aires	4:2 ✺
27.07.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana	0:0
31.08.25	Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
26.04.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana	1:1

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