Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 24

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Colegiales		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.82	4.5
	2.00	2.80	4.10
	2.02	2.78	4.25	Watch
	2.04	2.84	4.85
	2.05	2.78	4.6	Watch
	2.01	2.8	4.8
	2.03	2.85	4.45	Watch
	2.01	2.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.09)	2.8 ↓ (2.86)	4.47 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
46%

Draw
33.2%

Patronato Parana
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

32.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

32.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Colegiales - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Hanashiro F. 10. Zicarelli F. 5. Marin F. 8. Ocampo E. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Gonzalez L. 9. Monserrat R. E.	1. Sosa A. (C) 4. Rueda W. 2. Diaz G. 6. Meritello F. 3. Genez N. 10. Cortes B. 5. Picco A. 8. Miro A. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Soldano F. 9. Diaz D.
Substitutes
16. Acevedo A. 13. Aguirre E. 19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 17. Juarez L. 18. Mamani M. 15. Montiel F. 14. Ramirez M. 20. Toloza N.	20. Barolin J. 13. Diaz F. N. 15. Heredia F. 14. Piccioni S. 19. Reynaga R. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 16. Salas J. 18. Salega G. 17. Villarreal V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Rueda W. ⚽, Diaz D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ocampo E. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Rivero F. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Cortes B. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Albertengo M. ⚽, Di Fulvio E. (A),
70', 2 - 2, Rueda W. ⚽, Salas J. (A),
71', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Toloza N. ↑,
71', Gonzalez L. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
78', Miro A. ↓, Villarreal V. ↑,
78', Diaz D. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
79', Rivero F. 🟨,
84', Zicarelli F. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,
84', Trinidad E. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
88', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
88', Piccioni S. 🟨,
89', Genez N. ↓, Piccioni S. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Colegiales have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Patronato has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Colegiales is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colegiales won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Colegiales won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Colegiales - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.66%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Patronato Parana - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 22.71%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.08.26	Colegiales - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Quilmes - Colegiales	0:1 ✺
13.07.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Colegiales - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLLW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.08.26	Patronato Parana - Quilmes	3:3 ✺
26.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Patronato Parana - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	2:0
24.08.25	Colegiales - Patronato Parana	0:0
20.04.25	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	0:1

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