Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.81	2.85	5.50
	1.88	2.90	4.50
	1.91	3.10	4.30	Watch
	1.90	3.05	5.21
	1.87	3.01	5.1	Watch
	1.85	3.00	5.15
	1.85	2.90	5.49
	1.86	2.85	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	2.96 ↑ (2.94)	4.99 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
49.9%

Draw
31.5%

Patronato Parana
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

31.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

30.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 9. Bulacio D. 8. Camano J. 3. Casarico P. 2. Cepeda G. 4. Diaz Laharque L. 7. Flores M. 10. Luna R. 11. Marin F. 6. Recalde L. 5. Violini N.	1. Sosa A. (G) 9. Diaz D. 2. Diaz G. 3. Evangelista F. 8. Miro A. 6. Moreyra F. 10. Pacco L. 11. Pereyra V. L. 5. Picco A. 7. Reynaga R. 4. Rueda W.
Substitutes
20. Abruzzese M. 15. Aguilar D. 19. Cao R. 14. Castorani P. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 17. Madalon V. 13. Olavarria M. 18. Perales J.	17. Barinaga J. P. 16. Heredia F. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 20. Rivero H. 19. Salega G. 18. Soldano F. 15. Strey L. 14. Villarreal V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Camano J. 🟨,
25', Reynaga R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luna R. ↓, Abruzzese M. ↑,
46', Camano J. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
63', Pacco L. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
63', Reynaga R. ↓, Barinaga J. P. ↑,
67', Flores M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
68', Evangelista F. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Diaz Laharque L. ⚽, Bulacio D. (A),
78', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Soldano F. ↑,
79', Picco A. ↓, Villarreal V. ↑,
79', Miro A. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
84', Bulacio D. ↓, Olavarria M. ↑,
90', Marin F. ↓, Madalon V. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ferrocarril is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Patronato Parana - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
05.06.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTLL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Patronato Parana - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Patronato Parana - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.06.26	Patronato Parana - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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