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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 42.7%
Draw 30.4%
Gimnasia Jujuy 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30.9%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
30.3%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Patronato Parana - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (C) 2. Diaz G. 3. Genez N. 4. Rueda W. 6. Diaz F. N. 8. Miro A. 5. Picco A. 10. Soldano F. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Salas J. 9. Diaz D.
1. Alvarez M. (G) 2. Cosaro G. 3. Endrizzi E. 4. Camargo F. 6. Dematei N. 5. Soria H. 10. Molina F. 7. Maidana F. 8. Gallardo D. 11. Bianchi O. 9. Cachi M.
Substitutes
19. Attis T. 18. Barinaga J. P. 15. Cortes B. 17. Heredia F. 13. Moreyra F. 14. Piccioni S. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 20. Rivero H. 16. Villarreal V.
19. Alonso A. 18. Arganaraz A. 17. Casa M. 20. Franzoni J. 12. Gomez G. (G) 14. Minervino D. 16. Paradela F. 15. Pombo C. 13. Varela J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Diaz D. ⚽, Salas J. (A),
24', Dematei N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Gallardo D. ⚽, Maidana F. (A),
37', Salas J. 🟨,
44', Maidana F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Dematei N. 🟥,
54', Cachi M. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
55', Molina F. 🟨,
56', Salas J. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Miro A. ⚽, Picco A. (A),
63', 3 - 1, Diaz D. ⚽, Picco A. (A),
65', Maidana F. ↓, Pombo C. ↑,
65', Molina F. ↓, Franzoni J. ↑,
68', Soria H. 🟨,
73', Camargo F. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
73', Soria H. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
78', Rueda W. ↓, Moreyra F. ↑,
78', Soldano F. ↓, Barinaga J. P. ↑,
78', Miro A. ↓, Villarreal V. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Cosaro G. ⚽,
82', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
83', 3 - 3, Gallardo D. ⚽, Bianchi O. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 2.
Patronato is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Gimnasia Jujuy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Patronato has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Patronato Parana - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.15%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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Sosa A. (C) 
Soria H. 
Cortes B. 
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