The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 30%
Draw 30.5%
Defensa y Justicia 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.7%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
20.6%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensa y Justicia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.7%
28.6%
60.7%
Patronato Parana - Defensa y Justicia Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 42.6% – 78.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).
Patronato has the most likely position - 25 (15.3%), has project points - 25, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 5 (11.79%), has project points - 39, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Patronato has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Defensa y Justicia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Patronato have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Patronato won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
Watch
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