Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Disney+


	Argentinos Juniors		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	6	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.25
	1.58	3.85	5.85	Watch
	1.6	3.87	5.96	Watch
	1.61	3.88	5.8	Watch
	1.58	3.85	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)	3.83 ↑ (3.38)	5.79 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
59%

Draw
24.7%

Defensa y Justicia
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

28.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

27.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Argentinos Juniors (2.08) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Defensa y Justicia (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 6. Vega R. 8. Rodriguez A. 24. Fattori F. 21. Oroz N. 10. Lescano A. 29. Viveros E. 27. Molina T.	25. Bologna E. (G) 38. Rubio T. 4. Sienra A. 3. Soto A. 30. Balanta K. 24. Gonzalez M. 35. Schamine B. 33. Palavecino N. 10. Molinas A. 20. Gonzalez L. 7. Osorio A.
Substitutes
33. Antoni M. 13. Ardaiz J. 30. Brondo M. 5. Cardozo J. 14. Coronel K. 17. Ferreira C. 25. Gomez L. 11. Herrera J. 20. Prieto S. 2. Ramirez T. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 18. Sosa I.	18. Galvan I. 29. Gonzalez G. 5. Gutierrez K. 17. Hausch A. 16. Larralde V. 36. Leon R. (G) 2. Lucero S. 9. Miritello J. B. 8. Perez C. 37. Ramirez M. 22. Sosa S. 13. Souto L.
Coaches
Diez N.	de Muner P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Viveros E. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Lozano L. ⚽, Oroz N. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Molina T. ⚽,
32', 4 - 0, Vega R. ⚽,
37', Oroz N. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Molinas A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
48', Gomez L. 🟨,
53', 4 - 1, Osorio A. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
62', Balanta K. 🟨,
64', Palavecino N. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
64', Schamine B. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
77', Lescano A. ↓, Brondo M. ↑,
77', Fattori F. ↓, Cardozo J. ↑,
77', Molina T. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
77', Osorio A. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
85', Viveros E. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
89', Ramirez M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Argentinos Juniors is a favorite.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Barbona D. (Inactive) Franco L. (Knee Injury) Miranda M. (Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:18 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Central Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Argentinos Juniors - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Banfield - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWT
- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Cerro Largo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	3:1
15.09.22	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
Copa Argentina
06.07.22	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.03.22	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.10.21	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:2

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