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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 42.4%
Draw 30.9%
Patronato Parana 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
29.4%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
22.1%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patronato Parana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Santa Fe - Patronato Parana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 and 17).
Unión Santa Fe has the most likely position - 26 (7.17%), has project points - 28, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Patronato has the most likely position - 21 (6.22%), has project points - 30, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Unión Santa Fe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Patronato is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Unión Santa Fe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Unión Santa Fe will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Unión Santa Fe won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Santa Fe won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.