Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Patronato Parana		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3.4
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.35	2.8	3.4
	2.41	2.86	3.53
	2.38	2.79	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.4
	2.28	2.89	3.41
	2.31	2.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.46)	2.85 ↑ (2.79)	3.42 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
40.2%

Draw
32.7%

Estudiantes de Caseros
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

33.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

33.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Patronato Parana - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 8. Barinaga J. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Dening E. 2. Diaz G. 3. Martinez D. 7. Pereyra V. L. 10. Perotti J. 4. Ramos A. 5. Turraca G.	1. Budino M. (G) 8. Brinone S. 7. Contreras E. 10. Fagundez F. 11. Fernandez N. 2. Ledesma D. 5. Lugo M. 3. Lusnig L. 9. Ovando L. 6. Perales V. 4. Silva H.
Substitutes
12. Chaves I. (G) 18. Coronel F. 16. Gonzalez A. 17. Maciel E. 19. Meynier M. 15. Picco A. R. 14. Rueda M. 20. Valencia J. 13. Varela J.	12. Amade L. (G) 17. Bacas T. 20. Beron J. 19. Luna E. 14. Mayorga S. 15. Rodriguez R. 16. Silva L. 13. Valenzuela I. 18. Vallejos I.
Coaches
Pozo D.	Otta W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Perales V. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Dening E. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lusnig L. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
46', Ramos A. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Perotti J. ⚽,
54', Silva H. 🟥,
56', Bonansea A. 🟨,
58', Contreras E. ↓, Valenzuela I. ↑,
58', Ovando L. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
61', Bellatti S. D. N. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
61', Ramos A. ↓, Rueda M. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Bonansea A. ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, Bonansea A. ⚽,
68', Bonansea A. ↓, Meynier M. ↑,
68', Turraca G. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
69', Fagundez F. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
70', Barinaga J. 🟨,
71', Rueda M. 🟨,
75', Brinone S. ↓, Mayorga S. ↑,
75', Barinaga J. ↓, Maciel E. ↑,
81', Meynier M. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Patronato is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Patronato will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Patronato Parana - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	San Miguel - Patronato Parana	2:4 ✺
25.08.24	Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:3 ✺
18.08.24	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWLL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Tristán Suárez	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	All Boys - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Guillermo Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Patronato Parana	0:0

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