Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)


	San Miguel		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.78	3.05	4.95
	1.79	3.24	5.3
	2.42	2.80	3.35	Watch
	1.81	3.1	4.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)	4.79 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Miguel
49.7%

Draw
30.6%

Patronato Parana
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Miguel's performance.

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Miguel - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: San Miguel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Kippes A. (C) 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. 3. Grance I. 7. Juarez J. 8. Sena F. 5. Cravero T. 11. Salto C. 10. Dening E. 9. Nasta B.	1. Sosa A. (G) 2. Diaz G. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Moreyra F. 11. Asis G. 4. Rueda M. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. (C) 10. Marcioni J. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A.
Substitutes
16. Antunes I. 14. D. Renteria 15. Ferrero J. 20. Lavezzi A. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 17. Mosca C. 18. Rodriguez Trezza L. 13. Rojas M. 19. Sosa D.	20. Barolin J. 13. Diaz F. N. 17. Enrique M. 15. Escobar I. 12. Mazza J. (G) 14. Navas J. 19. Pardo M. 18. Pereyra V. L. 16. Picco A. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Asis G. 🟨,
44', Juarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asis G. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
66', Castro F. ↓, Pereyra V. L. ↑,
66', Salto C. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
76', Dening E. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
76', Nasta B. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
77', 🟨,
78', Sena F. 🟨,
79', Marcioni J. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
80', Bellatti S. D. N. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
81', Martinez G. 🟨,
84', Ferrero J. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', Sena F. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

San Miguel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	San Miguel - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Los Andes - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Quilmes - San Miguel	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	San Miguel - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.25	Patronato Parana - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Colegiales - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.05.25	Patronato Parana - San Miguel	2:1
02.09.24	San Miguel - Patronato Parana	2:4
08.05.24	Patronato Parana - San Miguel	0:1

Upcoming Matches