The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 40.4%
Draw 31.8%
Ferro Carril Oeste 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
28.3%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
27.3%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Chaves I. (G) 4. Rueda M. 2. Diaz G. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Asis G. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. 10. Pereyra V. L. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Marcioni J.
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Boolsen P. 2. Rivero F. 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Nazareno K. 5. Ramirez G. 11. Cosi J. 10. Tomasetti G. 9. Romero L. 7. Garcia F.
Substitutes
20. Barolin J. 13. Diaz F. N. 18. Miro A. 17. Moreno E. 14. Navas J. 16. Pacco L. 12. Peralta A. 15. Picco A. R. 19. Villarreal V.
19. Benegas M. 17. Campos M. 15. Fernandez Pinto J. 20. Gonzalez T. 13. Meritello F. 14. Monserrat M. 18. Palacio P. 16. Quiroga S. 12. Ruiz L. (G)
Coaches
Gomez G.
Grelak A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cosi J. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
58', Lorenzo A. 🟨,
60', Chaves I. 🟨,
65', Garcia F. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
72', Campos M. 🟨,
73', Barinaga J. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
80', Rivero F. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
80', Romero L. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
84', Castro F. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
86', Ramirez G. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
89', Rueda M. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 0, Bonansea A. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Patronato will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
Argentina
Watch
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Chaves I. (G) 
Garcia F. 
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