Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6
	2.1	2.95	3.5
	2.1	3	3.85
	2.21	2.9	4.02
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.11	3.2	3.68
	2.17	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)	3.66 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
43.6%

Draw
30.8%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Patronato Parana - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

Patronato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patronato will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	Patronato Parana - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.23	Deportivo Morón - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Patronato Parana - Güemes	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLT
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.04.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	San Martín de San Juan - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLW

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