The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 27.5%
Draw 32%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
33.2%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
33%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
40%
50%
Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 10%). E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for E Río Cuarto: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1.
Recent matches Alvarado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.