Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Alvarado		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.88	2.5	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.3
	3.3	3.25	2.1
	3.33	2.84	2.55
	3.3	2.7	2.35
	3.38	2.92	2.39
	3.95	3.05	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.98)	2.93 ↑ (2.81)	2.31 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
27.5%

Draw
32%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

33.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

33.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 10%). E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for E Río Cuarto: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1.

Recent matches Alvarado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
20.03.23	Deportivo Morón - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWL
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	San Martín de San Juan - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Guillermo Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.08.22	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1
23.08.21	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0
10.04.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	2:0
13.10.19	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:2
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.04.19	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	2:1
18.02.18	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.11.26	Alvarado - Sportivo Las Parejas	✺
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.10.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia La Plata	✺

Alvarado - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto