Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Novelli L. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.3	2.95	3.35
	2.42	2.9	3.5
	2.25	2.88	3.3
	2.29	3.08	3.38
	2.3	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.21)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
40.4%

Draw
31.2%

Patronato Parana
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

Defensores de Belgrano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Patronato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Belgrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWLL
- Patronato Parana
Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	Patronato Parana - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.23	Deportivo Morón - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Patronato Parana - Güemes	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
06.03.23	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTW

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