Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pau		Nancy

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.20	2.85
	2.35	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.5	3.21	3.09
	2.39	3.33	2.89	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3
	2.43	3.13	2.97	Watch
	2.38	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.27)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)	2.95 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
38.7%

Draw
29.7%

Nancy
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.6%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Pau - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maubleu B. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 4. Dodote A. 88. Bamba A. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 27. Gadegbeku L. 10. Versini G. 21. Benet J. 5. Rajot L. 7. Benali H. 9. Leye B.	1. Basilio E. (G) 4. Fernandez N. 77. Nahounou Y. 21. Mendy E. 44. Tacafred E. 70. Kandil N. 6. Kebe K. 8. Bouabdelli W. (C) 7. Fdaouch Z. 9. Housni I. 29. Obougou N.
Substitutes
8. Basse S. 23. Briancon A. 6. Fall C. 11. Lefebvre A. 22. Mimb Baheng R. 14. Openda R. 19. Saettel T. 30. Salles E. (G) 39. Tourraine M.	20. Bokangu B. 11. Cisse S. 10. Dabasse A. 45. El Hansar C. 17. Fofana M. 30. Lembet G. (G) 14. Saint-Ruf N. 2. Tavares H. 26. Ztouti Z.
Coaches
Debes T.	Tanchot O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Paquiez G. 🟨,
19', Dodote A. 🟨,
43', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gadegbeku L. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
46', Leye B. ↓, Openda R. ↑,
54', Bamba A. 🟨,
61', Obougou N. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
61', Rajot L. ↓, Saettel T. ↑,
68', Fernandez N. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
68', Kandil N. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
73', Versini G. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
86', Bouabdelli W. ↓, El Hansar C. ↑,
86', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Ztouti Z. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Bokangu B. ⚽, Housni I. (A),
88', Tavares H. 🟨,
89', Benet J. ↓, Briancon A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2.

Pau has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nancy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Nancy has had a series of home games.

Pau might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Pau: Daubin Q. (Inactive)

There will not play in Nancy: Coulibaly J. (Inactive) Gelin J. (Inactive) Kenzo N. (Injury) Ndenbe L. (Inactive) Ztouti Z. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Nancy: 1.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8:7	1	10
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
14.08.26	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Pau - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Pau - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Real Sociedad B - Pau	4:0 ✺
21.07.26	Espanyol - Pau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
14.08.26	Nancy - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Boulogne - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Nancy - Dijon	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Nancy - Haguenau	5:0 ✺
11.07.26	Nancy - Troyes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.05.26	Pau - Nancy	1:3
29.08.25	Nancy - Pau	2:2
14.05.22	Nancy - Pau	2:3
24.07.21	Pau - Nancy	2:1
05.02.21	Nancy - Pau	1:0
03.10.20	Pau - Nancy	1:1

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