Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 3

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Pau		Reims

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	2.92	3.4	2.25
	2.95	3.54	2.4
	1.18	7.80	10.39	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	2.94	3.58	2.31	Watch
	3.28	3.4	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.28)	3.98 ↑ (3.4)	3.22 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
38.6%

Draw
27.4%

Reims
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reims might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reims could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	7.1%	50%

Pau - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Reims will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 40%). Reims (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Pau (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 3 - 50%). Reims (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 21. Beusnard S. 10. Versini G. 84. Touzghar R. 14. Bobichon A. 9. Mboup P. 17. Sissoko O.	29. Jaouen E. (G) 3. Hiroki S. 92. Kone A. 30. Patrick J. 18. Akieme S. 87. Tia A. 86. Zabi 27. Bojang A. 23. Demoncy Y. (C) 58. Diarra T. 19. Siebatcheu J.
Substitutes
11. Gasnier K. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 34. Lebouath S. 36. Nihouarn T. 40. Paradowski T. (G)	4. Busi M. 22. Diakite O. 85. Ibrahim H. 14. Khadra R. 93. Mohamed D. 20. Olliero A. (G) 10. Teuma T.
Coaches
Usai N.	Geraerts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽, Bobichon A. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Sissoko O. ⚽,
42', Zabi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sissoko O. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
46', Bojang A. ↓, Mohamed D. ↑,
46', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
66', Beusnard S. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
66', Diarra T. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
72', Ruiz J. ↓, Kante ↑,
73', Zabi ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
75', Tia A. ↓, Busi M. ↑,
75', Kalulu J. 🟨,
86', Versini G. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
86', Kalulu J. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
89', Touzghar R. 🟨,
90+6', Kone A. 🟨,
90+6', Gasnier K. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Reims may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Reims might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Red Card)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Nakamura K. (Inactive) Okumu J. (Injury) Salama A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Khadra R. (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
15.08.25	Bastia - Pau	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pau - Annecy	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Rodez - Pau	2:4 ✺
18.07.25	Real Sociedad - Pau	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Toulouse - Pau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWLT
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 2
16.08.25	Reims - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Amiens - Reims	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Gamba Osaka - Reims	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Reims	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Montedio Yamagata - Reims	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLL

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