Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Bastia		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.1
	1.75	3.6	4.25
	1.84	3.72	4.34
	1.65	3.83	4.94	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.2
	1.81	3.72	4.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)	3.6 ↑ (3.28)	4.31 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
52.5%

Draw
25.9%

Pau
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

28.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Bastia - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Bastia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 6. Guidi D. (C) 4. Roncaglia A. 17. Ariss Z. 13. Ducrocq T. 66. Janneh J. 10. Boutrah A. 9. Tomi F. 14. Sebas J. 25. Ble M.	22. Raveyre N. (G) 25. Ruiz J. (C) 23. Briancon A. 3. Kalulu J. 2. Pouilly T. 84. Touzghar R. 14. Bobichon A. 97. Meddah D. 10. Versini G. 9. Mboup P. 7. Arconte T.
Substitutes
29. Etoga L. 5. Inao Oulai C. 8. Karamoko I. 24. Meynadier T. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 7. Vincent C. 18. Zaouai A.	21. Beusnard S. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 34. Lebouath S. 40. Paradowski T. (G) 87. Zuliani E.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Meddah D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Sebas J. ⚽, Boutrah A. (A),
34', Pouilly T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Arconte T. ⚽, Kalulu J. (A),
65', Arconte T. 🟨,
66', Meddah D. 🟥,
66', Ducrocq T. 🟥,
67', Bobichon A. ↓, Beusnard S. ↑,
67', Sebas J. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
68', Arconte T. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
73', Bohnert F. 🟨,
79', Versini G. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
85', Mboup P. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
86', Ble M. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
86', Tomi F. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
86', Guidi D. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
90', Ariss Z. 🟨,
90+2', Bohnert F. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.

Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bastia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Ngom O. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
10.05.25	Bastia - Caen	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Guingamp - Bastia	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	Bastia - Grenoble	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Bastia - Laval	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLLW
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
09.08.25	Pau - Annecy	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Rodez - Pau	2:4 ✺
18.07.25	Real Sociedad - Pau	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Toulouse - Pau	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
10.05.25	Pau - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.01.25	Bastia - Pau	1:1
22.10.24	Pau - Bastia	1:1
10.05.24	Pau - Bastia	1:2
26.09.23	Bastia - Pau	1:4
20.05.23	Pau - Bastia	2:6
13.01.23	Bastia - Pau	1:0
05.02.22	Bastia - Pau	1:1

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