Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 11

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Paulista		Colorado Caieiras

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5.2
	1.64	3.35	5.04
	1.63	3.52	5.24	Watch
	1.58	3.54	5.43
	1.62	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	5.22 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulista
56.4%

Draw
26.2%

Colorado Caieiras
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

24.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Colorado Caieiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Paulista - Colorado Caieiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟥,
39', 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 4)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, ⚽,
72', 1 - 4, ⚽,
76', 1 - 5, ⚽,
80', 2 - 5, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+2', 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Paulista is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paulista won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Paulista won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Paulista - Joseense	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Barretos - Paulista	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Paulista - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Jabaquara - Paulista	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLW
- Colorado Caieiras FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
26.02.25	VOCEM - Colorado Caieiras	3:3 ✺
22.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	São Caetano - Colorado Caieiras	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Joseense	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Penapolense - Colorado Caieiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista B
14.09.24	Paulista - Colorado Caieiras	1:0
07.09.24	Colorado Caieiras - Paulista	0:4
08.06.24	Colorado Caieiras - Paulista	1:0
04.05.24	Paulista - Colorado Caieiras	0:0

Paulista - Colorado Caieiras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide