Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Paulista		União Barbarense

	1	X	2
	2.31	2.46	3.74
	2.34	2.51	3.8	Watch
	2.21	2.79	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.13)	2.59 ↓ (2.83)	3.67 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulista
39.9%

Draw
35.3%

União Barbarense
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

31.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Paulista - União Barbarense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Vinicius Kiss ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Paulista will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paulista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Paulista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
19.04.25	Paulista - Nacional SP	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Joseense - Paulista	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Paulista - Joseense	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	VOCEM - Paulista	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTT
- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
19.04.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Araçatuba - União Barbarense	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	União Barbarense - Colorado Caieiras	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.02.25	Paulista - União Barbarense	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.01.13	Paulista - União Barbarense	1:0

Paulista - União Barbarense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide