Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Pavia		Brusaporto

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	1.98
	3.24	3.39	2.04	Watch
	3.22	3.28	2.06
	3.14	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavia
28.2%

Draw
27.1%

Brusaporto
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.8%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.9%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Brusaporto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Pavia - Brusaporto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Poesio C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Pavia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brusaporto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brusaporto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pavia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Brusaporto	6	3	0	3	7:8	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.02.26	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pavia - Real Calepina	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Breno - Pavia	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pavia - Oltrepo	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Milan Futuro - Pavia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTTW
- ASD Brusaporto
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.02.26	Brusaporto - Varesina	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Vogherese - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Brusaporto - Scanzorosciate	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Villa Valle - Brusaporto	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
12.10.25	Brusaporto - Pavia	3:1

Pavia - Brusaporto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide