Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Pavia		Oltrepo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.52
	2.5	3.32	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.39	2.66
	2.45	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.44)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavia
36.9%

Draw
27.8%

Oltrepo
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.3%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Oltrepo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Pavia aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oltrepo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Pavia - Oltrepo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pavia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Milan Futuro - Pavia	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Pavia - Caldiero Terme	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Pavia - Chievo	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pavia	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pavia - Casatese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTT
- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Oltrepo - Varesina	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Vogherese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Brusaporto - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Oltrepo - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Sondrio - Oltrepo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.09.25	Oltrepo - Pavia	0:1

Pavia - Oltrepo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide