Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 24

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday


	Paykan		Havadar

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.8	2.7	2.85
	2.75	2.56	2.85
	2.62	2.8	2.7
	2.73	2.85	2.72
	2.7	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.34)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)	2.76 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paykan
33.6%

Draw
33.2%

Havadar
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

32.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paykan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paykan's form might have worsened.

Havadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paykan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havadar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	66.7%	8.3%

Paykan - Havadar Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paykan will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Havadar will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Sefid M. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Shakeri Y. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Fallah M. H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 2, Zamani A. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Paykan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Havadar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paykan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Paykan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paykan
Iran Pro League
12.04.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Persepolis - Paykan	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Paykan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Sepahan - Paykan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 TWLWW
- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
12.04.24	Havadar - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Foolad Khuzestan - Havadar	3:3 ✺
03.04.24	Aluminium Arak - Havadar	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Havadar - Esteghlal	0:1 ✺
13.03.24	Tractor Sazi - Havadar	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
03.11.23	Havadar - Paykan	0:0
07.04.23	Havadar - Paykan	0:1
21.10.22	Paykan - Havadar	1:1
13.02.22	Paykan - Havadar	1:2
25.10.21	Havadar - Paykan	0:2

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