Match Info

Date: 11 July 2021, Sunday


	Paysandu		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.21	2.95	3.15
	2.3	3.11	3.47
	2.25	2.8	3.25
	2.24	3.18	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.25)	2.99 ↓ (3.01)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
40.8%

Draw
30.7%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paysandu - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 8).

Paysandu is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferroviário is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paysandu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
03.07.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
27.06.21	Floresta - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
19.06.21	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
12.06.21	Jacuipense - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
07.06.21	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
03.07.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
26.06.21	Jacuipense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
18.06.21	Tombense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
14.06.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
05.06.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Altos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
22.11.20	Paysandu - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:0
20.09.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Paysandu	0:2

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