Match Info

Date: 3 July 2021, Saturday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.6	3.4
	2.25	2.9	3.35
	2.26	2.85	3.15
	2.46	2.89	3.44
	2.35	2.87	3
	2.31	3.08	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.54)	2.87 ↓ (2.98)	3.24 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
39.6%

Draw
32.1%

Paysandu
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

22.1%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Santa Cruz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paysandu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santa Cruz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
21.06.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
14.06.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
05.06.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Floresta	0:0 ✺
30.05.21	Manaus - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.05.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
27.06.21	Floresta - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
19.06.21	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
12.06.21	Jacuipense - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
07.06.21	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
29.05.21	Tombense - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.10.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu	2:1
08.08.20	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
18.11.17	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	4:2
01.08.17	Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu	1:2
08.09.15	Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu	1:2
02.06.15	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1

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