Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 25

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Paysandu		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.5	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	1.9	3.2	4.15
	1.9	3.42	4.68
	1.90	3.11	4.51	Watch
	2.1	3	3.6
	1.96	3.24	4.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.11)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	4.15 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
48.3%

Draw
29.2%

Volta Redonda
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Paysandu - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Paysandu (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 21. Bryan Borges 6. Thalisson 44. Thiago Heleno 16. Reverson 29. Anderson Leite 28. Leandro Vilela (C) 18. Edinho 10. Mauricio Garcez 11. Marlon Douglas 9. Diogo Oliveira	33. Jefferson Paulino (G) 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 4. Fabricio (C) 15. Lucas Adell 13. Jhonny 16. Rai 28. Andre Luiz 22. Juninho Monteiro 20. Chavez Cruz L. L. 99. Kayke 11. MV
Substitutes
98. Denilson 15. Dudu Vieira 22. Joao Marcos 30. Marcelinho 13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 35. Mauricio Antonio 94. Patric Calmon 3. Quintana Y. 43. Ramon Vinicius 25. Ronaldo Henrique 77. Rossi 99. Vinicius Faria	5. Bruno Barra 14. Chay 29. Daniel Cabral 21. Henrique Silva 18. Igor Maduro 19. Igor Morais 12. Jean Drosny (G) 7. Joao Pedro 23. Matheus Lucas 6. Sanchez 17. Vitinho Lopes
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Thalisson ⚽, Thiago Heleno (A),
34', Chavez Cruz L. L. ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
34', Andre Luiz ↓, Chay ↑,
45', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
45+2', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Reverson ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
46', Thalisson ↓, Mauricio Antonio ↑,
47', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
53', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Sanchez ↑,
57', Edinho ↓, Rossi ↑,
62', MV ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
62', Kayke ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
63', Leandro Vilela ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
71', Marlon Douglas ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
82', Gabriel Mesquita 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pinheiro ⚽, Jhonny (A),
90+4', Rossi 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Rai ⚽, Chay (A),
90+5', Rai 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.

Paysandu has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Volta Redonda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Paysandu might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Paysandu: Denner (Injury) Matheus Vargas (Injury)

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Wellington Silva (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Rossi (Inactive)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Marquinhos (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.25	CRB Maceio - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Chapecoense - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Paysandu - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.25	Volta Redonda - Athletic Club	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ferroviária - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
18.08.25	Volta Redonda - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
04.08.25	Cuiabá - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.05.25	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
07.10.23	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	1:0
03.09.23	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	1:1
28.05.23	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	3:0
22.05.22	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	2:1
22.08.21	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	2:2
19.06.21	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	0:0

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