Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports


	Paysandú		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.48
	2.62	3.23	2.65
	2.61	3.31	2.61	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.53	3.13	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.43)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)	2.55 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paysandú
35.4%

Draw
28.9%

Cerrito
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-4%)

Paysandú - Cerrito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

Recent form of Paysandú has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cerrito has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Paysandú has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cerrito	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Last Results with these Odds

Cerrito - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.6%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLT
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.05.26	Cerrito - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cerrito - La Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTTT

Upcoming Matches