Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atenas de San Carlos		Paysandú

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.96	3.24	4.16
	1.96	3.24	4	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.83	3.22	4.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.36)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	3.95 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
48%

Draw
28.8%

Paysandú
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas de San Carlos's performance.

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atenas de San Carlos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atenas de San Carlos - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Suarez N. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
82', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Atenas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paysandú is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Paysandú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atenas might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL

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