Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Platges de Calvià

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.95	6.5
	1.42	3.98	6.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	3.97 ↓ (4.1)	6.67 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
63.7%

Draw
22.8%

Platges de Calvià
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.4%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Peña Deportiva - Platges de Calvià Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Maroto S. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Peña Deportiva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Platges de Calvià has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Platges de Calvià may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peña Deportiva is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Peña Deportiva will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peña Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Peña Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.11.25	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Peña Deportiva - Inter Ibiza	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Llosetense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Peña Deportiva - Cardassar	5:1 ✺
19.10.25	Manacor - Peña Deportiva	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWW
- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Portmany	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Rotlet Molinar - Platges de Calvià	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Santanyí - Platges de Calvià	1:3 ✺
22.10.25	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.04.19	Peña Deportiva - Platges de Calvià	2:1

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