Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Pedroñeras		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.05	2.88
	2.33	3.2	2.85
	2.36	3.22	2.84
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.33	3.08	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.32)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedroñeras
39.1%

Draw
29.2%

Marchamalo
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedroñeras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedroñeras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Pedroñeras - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Rubio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pedroñeras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pedroñeras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marchamalo	5	2	2	1	10:7	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Pedroñeras
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.04.26	Azuqueca - Pedroñeras	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Pedroñeras - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tarancón - Pedroñeras	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pedroñeras - Sonseca	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pedroñeras - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLWT
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.04.26	Marchamalo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Marchamalo - Villacañas	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Illescas - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Marchamalo - Manchego	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
29.11.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	1:0
18.01.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	3:0
07.09.24	Pedroñeras - Marchamalo	0:1
07.02.21	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	0:0

Pedroñeras - Marchamalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide