Match Info

1. Lig - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.62	4.06	4.34
	1.68	4.37	4.34
	1.62	4.42	4.44	Watch
	1.62	4	4.4
	1.69	3.77	4.71	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)	4.06 ↑ (3.86)	4.43 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
56.4%

Draw
22.8%

Sakaryaspor
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Erokspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Oral E. A. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 97. Cavare D. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 4. Kacar T. (C) 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 12. Kanga G. 73. Lus B. 10. Kayode O.	29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 77. Erdogan E. 4. Cakir B. 5. Ciftpinar S. 7. Demir M. 44. Vukovic J. 36. Altiparmak B. 54. Coban B. (C) 10. Kakuta G. 12. Ben Yedder W.
Substitutes
7. Catakovic H. 11. Faye M. 80. Genc M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 6. Jack R. 8. Karaman A. 2. Kestane O. 41. Mehmet I. 16. Yasar A. 30. Yucer Y.	3. Acil O. 11. Akuazaoku U. 34. Baytekin G. (G) 8. Cihan M. 25. Demir A. 14. Demir E. 96. Kobiljar R. 33. Olcay M. 94. Tuzcu D. 9. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Sutlu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Vukovic J. 🟨,
20', Altiparmak B. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Amilton ⚽, Kayode O. (A),
33', Okyar M. 🟨,
35', Ben Yedder W. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 1, Coban B. ⚽, Yavuz S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', Kanga G. (Penalty Awarded),
53', 2 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Alic E. (A),
63', Ben Yedder W. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
74', Lus B. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
74', Kacar T. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
74', Demir M. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Kanga G. (A),
84', Kayode O. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
84', Kanga G. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
88', Erdogan E. 🟨,
88', Amilton ↓, Hidayetoglu A. ↑,
88', Erdogan E. ↓, Cihan M. ↑,
88', Altiparmak B. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 1, Catakovic H. ⚽, Alic E. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Erokspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sakaryaspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Erokspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Erokspor: Cetin E. (Suspended) Gedik E. (Suspended) Isik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended) Nzaba F. (Yellow Cards) Tetik B. (Suspended)

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A. (Suspended) Dursun S. (Yellow Cards) Erkin C. (Red Card) Kolovetsios D. (Knee Injury) Sanli B. (Inactive) Tekogul Y. (Suspended) Turken A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Erokspor: Niyaz R. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:5 ✺
Turkish First League
28.11.25	Amed SK - Erokspor	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Erokspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Erokspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTW
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish Cup
02.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:5 ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Vanspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.05.25	Sakaryaspor - Erokspor	2:0
11.01.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1

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