The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pendikspor 49%
Draw 25.8%
Keçiörengücü 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
26.4%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
23.2%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pendikspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keçiörengücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pendikspor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 50.5% – 99.5%.
1. Dilmen D. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 88. Fidan Y. 4. Soldo V. 66. Dogan F. 60. Karadeniz B. 41. Ozdemir M. (C) 10. Wilks M. 34. Rogerio Thuram 8. Denic D. 9. Clarke-Harris J.
18. Satilmis E. (G) 17. Bilgic H. 5. Caliskan O. 4. Celik A. 73. Lus S. 10. Bulut H. 36. Karaogul I. 7. Roshi O. 8. Rroca E. (C) 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.
Substitutes
18. Akman H. 12. Bitin G. 17. Karademir A. 21. Maldar H. 6. Sequeira 5. Sulungoz B. 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A. 14. Yesil H. 97. Yuvakuran U. (G)
67. Acet M. 9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 70. Diaby O. 79. Duman A. 27. Kucuksolak E. 23. Mexer 88. Ozer A. (G) 32. Poyraz E. 28. Yilmaz E.
Coaches
Kaloglu S.
Kosukavak Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Lus S. 🟨,
16', Ozdemir M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Ezeh F. ⚽, Rroca E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dogan F. ↓, Sequeira ↑,
46', Rogerio Thuram ↓, Yesil H. ↑,
66', Soldo V. 🟨,
68', Bilgic H. 🟨,
72', Ozdemir M. ↓, Maldar H. ↑,
79', Rroca E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
82', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
86', Kitsiou S. ↓, Karademir A. ↑,
87', Ayan H. 🟨,
88', Sequeira 🟨,
89', Diouf M. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
90+3', Satilmis E. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 2.
Recent performances by Pendikspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Keçiörengücü is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Pendikspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B.
(Inactive)
Cicek E.
(Suspended)
Isen B.
(Suspended)
There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Fernandes J.
(Yellow Cards)
Keskin B.
(Suspended)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Pendikspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Keciorengucu
8
3
4
1
17:10
7
13
12
Pendikspor
8
2
4
2
10:13
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Pendikspor - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.