Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Peniche		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.1
	1.88	3.14	4.34
	1.82	3.2	4.27
	1.84	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.13)	3.15 ↑ (2.94)	4.23 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peniche
49.5%

Draw
28.9%

Fontinhas
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

31.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peniche's performance.

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peniche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Peniche is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fontinhas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peniche will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peniche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Peniche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.02.24	União de Tomar - Peniche	2:4 ✺
04.02.24	Peniche - Alverca B	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Mortágua - Peniche	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Peniche - União de Santarém	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Marinhense - Peniche	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.02.24	Fontinhas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Gouveia - Fontinhas	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	União de Coimbra - Fontinhas	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Fontinhas - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.10.23	Fontinhas - Peniche	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	Fontinhas - Peniche	3:1
31.10.21	Peniche - Fontinhas	0:1

Peniche - Fontinhas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide