Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Pennarossa		San Marino Academy U22

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.3	2.98
	2.17	3.31	3.04	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3
	2.16	3.35	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)	3.3 ↓ (3.75)	3 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pennarossa
42.2%

Draw
27.5%

San Marino Academy U22
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

23.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

22.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

San Marino Academy U22 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Marino Academy U22 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marino Academy U22 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pennarossa - San Marino Academy U22 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Pintore M. (Pen),
26', 1 - 1, Marfella D. (Pen),
33', 2 - 1, Zahir E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 1, Pintore M. ⚽, Gregori E. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Pennarossa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Marino Academy has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pennarossa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pennarossa has had a series of away games.

Recently, San Marino Academy has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pennarossa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.10.25	Folgore - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tre Penne - Pennarossa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Faetano - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWLW
- San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Cosmos	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	1:5 ✺
04.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Virtus	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Tre Fiori	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Tre Penne - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
12.04.25	Pennarossa - San Marino Academy U22	1:3
14.12.24	San Marino Academy U22 - Pennarossa	2:1

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