Match Info

Cymru North - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Penrhyncoch		Mold Alexandra

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.35	2.35
	2.65	3.39	2.42
	2.67	3.45	2.47	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.38
	2.58	3.38	2.33
	2.57	3.33	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.56)	3.33 ↓ (3.66)	2.39 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
34.8%

Draw
27.2%

Mold Alexandra
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

24.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

23.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mold Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (+4%)

Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Owen D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Rush C. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, James J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 1, Kellaway G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Penrhyncoch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mold Alexandra	10	6	2	2	24:13	11	20
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
04.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Penrhyncoch - Brickfield Rangers	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	3:2 ✺
31.12.25	Penrhyncoch - Ruthin Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT
- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
07.02.26	Mold Alexandra - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Flint Mountain - Mold Alexandra	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Buckley Town - Mold Alexandra	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Mold Alexandra - Caersws	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
26.07.25	Mold Alexandra - Penrhyncoch	2:2
22.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra	0:0
02.11.24	Mold Alexandra - Penrhyncoch	1:2
11.03.23	Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra	2:2
20.08.22	Mold Alexandra - Penrhyncoch	3:1

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