Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pergolettese		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	2.98	2.82
	2.17	3.29	3.19	Watch
	2.7	2.96	2.78	Watch
	2.57	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.16)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
37.4%

Draw
31%

Novara
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Pergolettese - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Doldi F. (G) 72. Padalino A. 14. Lambrughi A. 26. Bane A. 27. Aidoo M. 21. Careccia S. 32. Di Gesu E. 20. Tremolada M. 77. Pessolani G. 9. Parker S. 11. Corti N.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 71. D'Alessio L. 15. Khailoti O. 26. Lorenzini F. 72. Agyemang G. 9. Alberti T. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 17. Dell'Erba D. 10. Donadio C. 7. Lanini E. 99. Basso G.
Substitutes
3. Antolini J. 13. Benvenuto M. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Finardi E. (G) 19. Pala A. 30. Pepa N. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F. 7. Tomaselli G.	32. Andreotti R. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 20. da Graca C. 27. Deseri G. 8. Di Cosmo L. 3. Lartey S. 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 90. Perini G. 31. Rabuffetti L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 70. Valdesi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Lorenzini F. ⚽,
26', Alberti T. 🟨,
36', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', D'Alessio L. 🟨,
66', Antolini J. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
66', Corti N. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
68', Dore S. 🟨,
69', Tremolada M. 🟨,
69', Lanini E. ↓, Ledonne N. ↑,
74', Pessolani G. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
74', Tremolada M. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Ferrandino D. ⚽,
85', Alberti T. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
85', Ranieri R. ↓, Cortese A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
90', Parker S. ↓, Benvenuto M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, da Graca C. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 1.

Recent form of Pergolettese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Novara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.25	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pergolettese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Brescia - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pergolettese - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Giana Erminio - Novara	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Novara - Triestina	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
15.02.25	Pergolettese - Novara	1:2
05.10.24	Novara - Pergolettese	3:1
24.03.24	Pergolettese - Novara	1:1
19.11.23	Novara - Pergolettese	2:1
02.04.23	Novara - Pergolettese	1:2
30.11.22	Pergolettese - Novara	1:0
03.04.21	Novara - Pergolettese	0:0

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