Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Triestina		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.05	3.1
	2.08	3.09	3.83
	5.95	1.33	6.54	Watch
	2.34	2.98	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.2)	2.61 ↓ (3.12)	4.11 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Triestina
33.6%

Draw
40.6%

Pergolettese
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Triestina - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 6. Moretti A. 3. Palma L. 14. Anzolin M. 28. Pedicillo L. 33. Crnigoj D. 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. 16. Vicario J. 27. Faggioli A. 29. Kljajic N.	22. Doldi F. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 26. Bane A. 14. Lambrughi A. 33. Capoferri M. 20. Tremolada M. 4. Arini M. 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 11. Corti N. 77. Pessolani G.
Substitutes
19. Bagnoli E. 22. Borriello F. (G) 26. D'Amore F. 24. De Luca A. 10. D'Urso C. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 11. Gunduz T. 13. Kiyine S. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 4. Rodolfo Moises 9. Vertainen E.	3. Antolini J. 13. Benvenuto M. 21. Careccia S. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 32. Di Gesu E. 12. Finardi E. (G) 72. Padalino A. 19. Pala A. 30. Pepa N. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F. 7. Tomaselli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Silvestri T. 🟥,
30', Tremolada M. 🟨,
31', Faggioli A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Lambrughi A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Ionita A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tremolada M. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
59', Bane A. 🟨,
64', Pessolani G. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
64', Vicario J. ↓, D'Amore F. ↑,
65', Faggioli A. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
71', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
77', Bane A. 🟨,
78', 🟨,
78', Kljajic N. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
83', Corti N. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
83', Aidoo M. ↓, Roversi L. ↑,
83', Ferrandino D. ↓, Benvenuto M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 1.

Triestina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pergolettese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Triestina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.15%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
12.10.25	Cittadella - Triestina	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Novara - Triestina	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Triestina - Renate	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Inter U23 - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLW
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.25	Pergolettese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Brescia - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pergolettese - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Trento - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Pergolettese - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.03.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	0:0
26.10.24	Pergolettese - Triestina	1:0
28.01.24	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1
19.09.23	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:1
22.04.23	Pergolettese - Triestina	1:2
17.12.22	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:0
17.03.22	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:2

Upcoming Matches