Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 11

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pergolettese		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3.09	3.42
	2.23	3.09	3.42
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.16	3.24
	2.07	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.33)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.29 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
42.8%

Draw
29.3%

Legnago Salus
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Pergolettese - Legnago Salus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Soncin M. (G) 4. Arini M. 18. Artioli F. 7. Bariti D. 70. Caia F. 33. Capoferri M. 5. Figoli M. 11. Guiu B. 10. Mazzarani A. 35. Piccinini S. 2. Tonoli D.	1. Fortin M. (G) 19. Diaby A. 20. Giani E. 3. Mazzali S. 13. Motoc A. 23. Muteba V. 26. Noce M. 9. Svidercoschi S. 8. van Ransbeeck K. (C) 5. Viero F. 32. Zanandrea G.
Substitutes
6. Andreoli L. 30. Bignami R. 77. Bozzuto R. 99. Caccavo L. 1. Cattaneo M. (G) 8. Cerasani J. 80. Jaouhari Z. 3. Lambrughi A. 9. Piu A.	12. Businarolo M. (G) 25. Casarotti E. 36. Franzolini A. 10. Rocco D. 21. Ruggeri G. 18. Sambou B. 4. Sbampato E. 99. Tabue K. 22. Tosi R. (G) 14. Travaglini M.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legnago Salus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legnago Salus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pergolettese have a series of guest games.

Pergolettese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Pergolettese - Trento	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWL
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Legnago Salus - Triestina	1:3 ✺
20.10.23	Atalanta U23 - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
13.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Legnago Salus	0:4 ✺
07.10.23	Legnago Salus - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Legnago Salus - Padova	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.22	Pergolettese - Legnago Salus	1:1
10.10.21	Legnago Salus - Pergolettese	3:1

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