Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 10

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Alessandria		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.9	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.15	2.36
	2.89	3.11	2.36
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.86	3.1	2.33
	2.9	3.1	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.64)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	2.33 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
31.8%

Draw
29.2%

Pergolettese
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandria's performance.

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pergolettese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Alessandria - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liverani L. (G) 11. Anatriello G. 23. Ciancio S. 31. Ercolani L. 24. Mastalli A. 4. Nichetti M. 21. Nunzella L. . Pellegrini 8. Rota A. 66. Sepe A. 9. Siafa O.	22. Soncin M. (G) 6. Andreoli L. 4. Arini M. 18. Artioli F. 31. Aucelli C. 33. Capoferri M. 8. Cerasani J. 11. Guiu B. 35. Piccinini S. 9. Piu A. 2. Tonoli D.
Substitutes
6. Belgiovine D. 28. Foresta G. 17. Gega E. 32. Giubilato L. 10. Pagliuca M. 14. Pellitteri A. 15. Ronci A. . Rossi 72. Vaughn C. 22. Virano R. (G)	30. Bignami R. 99. Caccavo L. 70. Caia F. 1. Cattaneo M. (G) 12. Doldi F. (G) 5. Figoli M. 80. Jaouhari Z. 3. Lambrughi A. 10. Mazzarani A.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 4.

Alessandria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alessandria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Alessandria - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Alessandria - Lumezzane	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.23	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Pergolettese - Trento	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.21	Alessandria - Pergolettese	1:0
23.12.20	Pergolettese - Alessandria	0:1
08.12.19	Pergolettese - Alessandria	2:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
05.01.14	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:1
01.09.13	Pergolettese - Alessandria	1:1

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