Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 7

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fiorenzuola		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.95	2.3
	3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.12	2.89	2.53
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.9	3.04	2.34
	2.95	3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.68)	3 ↓ (3.11)	2.36 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
30.9%

Draw
30.4%

Pergolettese
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Guadagno J. (G) 2. Gentile D. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Nava R. 19. Sussi C. 5. Nelli J. 10. Di Quinzio D. 7. Gonzi J. 8. Stronati R. 21. Morello M. 18. Ceravolo F.	22. Soncin M. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 4. Arini M. 35. Piccinini S. 7. Bariti D. 31. Aucelli C. 18. Artioli F. 5. Figoli M. 33. Capoferri M. 10. Mazzarani A. 11. Guiu B.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 90. Anelli N. 70. Beretta R. 6. Bondioli A. 15. Coghetto F. 32. Di Gesu E. 34. Grisendi F. 66. Kenzin D. 29. Musatti M. 20. Oddi R. 11. Omoregbe B. M. 14. Oneto E. 13. Seck A. 17. Silvestro A. 1. Sorzi M. (G)	6. Andreoli L. 30. Bignami R. 40. Bozzuto R. 99. Caccavo L. 1. Cattaneo M. (G) 12. Doldi F. (G) 80. Jaouhari Z. 3. Lambrughi A. 9. Piu A. 97. Schiavini A. 23. Tacchinardi G.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 2.

Recent matches Fiorenzuola is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pergolettese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.09.23	Pro Vercelli - Fiorenzuola	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Fiorenzuola - Trento	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	Lumezzane - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Fiorenzuola - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- US Pergolettese
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Pergolettese - Renate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.22	Pergolettese - Fiorenzuola	3:1
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.22	Pergolettese - Fiorenzuola	0:1
20.10.21	Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese	3:1
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.04.19	Pergolettese - Fiorenzuola	2:1
08.12.18	Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese	1:2
Club Friendly
05.08.17	Pergolettese - Fiorenzuola	2:1

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