Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 21

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Legnago Salus		Padova

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.52
	6.5	3.6	1.55
	6.2	3.55	1.6
	6.2	3.55	1.61
	6	3.6	1.5
	6.08	3.64	1.53
	5.6	3.55	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (4.04)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.55 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
15.3%

Draw
25.6%

Padova
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

28.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legnago Salus's form might have worsened.

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legnago Salus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Legnago Salus - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 77. Martic M. 6. Pelagatti C. 13. Motoc A. 11. Zanetti L. 7. Baradji M. 19. Diaby A. 8. van Ransbeeck K. 24. Boci B. 10. Rocco D. (C) 29. Buric N.	1. Donnarumma A. (C) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 3. Perrotta M. 26. Kirwan N. 8. Fusi P. 7. Varas K. 15. Bianchi N. 30. Favale G. 21. Liguori M. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
12. Businarolo M. (G) 25. Casarotti E. 36. Franzolini A. 20. Giani E. 2. Hadaji A. 90. Mbakogu J. 23. Muteba V. 26. Noce M. 21. Ruggeri G. 18. Sambou B. 4. Sbampato E. 9. Svidercoschi S. 22. Tosi R. (G) 14. Travaglini M. 5. Viero F.	25. Calabrese B. 17. Capelli A. 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Dezi J. 23. Granata A. 22. Mangiaracina P. (G) 19. Palombi S. 34. Tiveron J. 90. Tordini M. 14. Villa L. 99. Zanellati A. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0.

Recent matches Legnago Salus is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padova is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group A
07.01.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
22.12.23	Legnago Salus - Mantova	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Alessandria - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
08.12.23	Legnago Salus - Novara	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Pro Sesto - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTTW
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
08.01.24	Padova - Mantova	0:5 ✺
22.12.23	Triestina - Padova	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Padova - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.12.23	Pontedera - Padova	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
09.12.23	Atalanta U23 - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Legnago Salus - Padova	2:4
Italian Serie C Group A
10.09.23	Padova - Legnago Salus	2:0
23.02.22	Padova - Legnago Salus	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.09.21	Padova - Legnago Salus	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
11.09.21	Legnago Salus - Padova	0:4
Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.21	Legnago Salus - Padova	0:2
18.10.20	Padova - Legnago Salus	1:1

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