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Current Win Probability
Persebaya Surabaya 28.8%
Draw 29.2%
Java United 42%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
29%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
31.4%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persebaya Surabaya's form might have worsened.
Java United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Java United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persebaya Surabaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Java United than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Java United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Persebaya Surabaya - Java United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.90) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 5. Mitrevski R. 24. Lelis L. S. 91. Tumbas D. 77. Malik R. 88. Raickovic M. 68. Firmansyah T. 22. Freitas Gali 7. Rivera F. 10. Bruno (C)
1. Saputro A. (G) 6. Igor Inocencio 2. Nilson Junior 4. Gustavo (C) 23. Sayuri Y. 10. Tyronne 16. Angulo W. 68. Setiawan T. 7. Ciro 17. da Silva D. 12. Sayuri Y.
Substitutes
33. Araya K. 81. Baihaqi M. 99. Diego Mauricio 4. Dimov D. 8. Fernando O. 18. May R. 55. Putra S. 23. Raditya K. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 9. Rizky D. 12. Suaib A. 26. Wicaksono D.
94. Alan (G) 41. Ardiansyah R. 21. Butuan F. 29. David S. 9. Drajad M. 96. Lestaluhu A. 69. Lestusen M. 22. Ridwan M. (G) 19. Rustam T. 88. Slamat A. 56. Syuhada R. 27. Tahar S.
Coaches
Tavares B.
Susilo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Freitas Gali ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
31', Nilson Junior 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Freitas Gali ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Setiawan T. ↓, Lestusen M. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Ciro ⚽,
65', Firmansyah T. ↓, Putra S. ↑,
65', Freitas Gali ↓, Diego Mauricio ↑,
68', Igor Inocencio ↓, Rustam T. ↑,
69', Sayuri Y. 🟨,
70', Bruno 🟨,
72', Tumbas D. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
87', Rivera F. ↓, Wicaksono D. ↑,
87', Catur A. ↓, May R. ↑,
87', Tyronne ↓, Drajad M. ↑,
90+3', Rustam T. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
Persebaya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Malut United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Malut United has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Including home match between the teams, Persebaya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Indonesia
Watch
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Ari E. (G) 
Mitrevski R. 
Lelis L. S. 
Tumbas D. 
Raickovic M. 
Freitas Gali 
Rivera F. 
Tyronne 
Angulo W. 
Tavares B. 
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