Match Info

Date: 1 February 2022, Tuesday


	Persela Lamongan		Arema

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.75	1.53
	5.25	3.8	1.45
	6.2	3.85	1.46
	6.48	3.55	1.45
	6	3.9	1.47
	6.6	4.25	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↑ (4.22)	3.85 ↑ (3.44)	1.47 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persela Lamongan
15.1%

Draw
23.4%

Arema
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.6%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

21.7%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persela Lamongan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persela Lamongan's form might have worsened.

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Persela Lamongan - Arema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Cup).

Recent matches Persela Lamongan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arema is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arema is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Persela Lamongan won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Persela Lamongan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persela Lamongan
Indonesian Super League
26.01.22	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Persela Lamongan	2:2 ✺
15.01.22	Persela Lamongan - Persija Jakarta	1:1 ✺
11.01.22	Persita Tangerang - Persela Lamongan	3:0 ✺
06.01.22	Persipura Jayapura - Persela Lamongan	1:1 ✺
11.12.21	Persela Lamongan - PSS Sleman	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLTT
- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
28.01.22	Arema - Persipura Jayapura	1:0 ✺
17.01.22	PSIS Semarang - Arema	0:0 ✺
13.01.22	Arema - PSS Sleman	2:0 ✺
09.01.22	Bhayangkara - Arema	0:1 ✺
05.01.22	Arema - Persikabo 1973	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
03.10.21	Arema - Persela Lamongan	3:0
Club Friendly
13.02.20	Arema - Persela Lamongan	3:1
Indonesian Super League
20.09.19	Persela Lamongan - Arema	2:0
27.05.19	Arema - Persela Lamongan	3:2
Indonesian President Cup
09.03.19	Persela Lamongan - Arema	1:0
Indonesian Super League
16.11.18	Persela Lamongan - Arema	4:0
07.07.18	Arema - Persela Lamongan	1:0

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