Match Info

Date: 28 January 2022, Friday


	Arema		Persipura Jayapura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.2	4.75
	1.44	4.25	4.7
	1.49	3.85	5
	1.44	4.22	5.1
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.5	4.2	5.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.34)	4.09 ↓ (4.34)	5.45 ↓ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
61.5%

Draw
22%

Persipura Jayapura
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

12.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arema's form might have worsened.

Persipura Jayapura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arema that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persipura Jayapura than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Arema - Persipura Jayapura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 and 15).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Arema is a favorite.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Arema won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Arema won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
17.01.22	PSIS Semarang - Arema	0:0 ✺
13.01.22	Arema - PSS Sleman	2:0 ✺
09.01.22	Bhayangkara - Arema	0:1 ✺
05.01.22	Arema - Persikabo 1973	0:0 ✺
10.12.21	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWTW
- Persipura Jayapura
Indonesian Super League
16.01.22	Persipura Jayapura - Persiraja Banda Aceh	0:0 ✺
11.01.22	Persija Jakarta - Persipura Jayapura	1:2 ✺
06.01.22	Persipura Jayapura - Persela Lamongan	1:1 ✺
11.12.21	Persipura Jayapura - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
07.12.21	PSS Sleman - Persipura Jayapura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
29.09.21	Persipura Jayapura - Arema	0:1
20.10.19	Persipura Jayapura - Arema	2:2
04.07.19	Arema - Persipura Jayapura	3:1
22.09.18	Persipura Jayapura - Arema	1:0
27.04.18	Arema - Persipura Jayapura	3:1
29.10.17	Persipura Jayapura - Arema	3:1
16.07.17	Arema - Persipura Jayapura	0:2

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