Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Persela Lamongan		Borneo Samarinda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.15	3.2	2
	3.15	3.15	1.95
	3.23	3.31	2
	3.3	3.25	2
	3.5	3.38	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (4.4)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	1.98 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persela Lamongan
27.3%

Draw
27.5%

Borneo Samarinda
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

26.8%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

22%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persela Lamongan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persela Lamongan's performance.

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borneo Samarinda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persela Lamongan than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persela Lamongan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borneo Samarinda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Persela Lamongan - Borneo Samarinda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Pusamania Borneo is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Persela Lamongan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Persela Lamongan won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persela Lamongan
Indonesian Super League
19.11.21	Bali United Pusam - Persela Lamongan	2:1 ✺
04.11.21	Persela Lamongan - Persib Bandung	1:3 ✺
29.10.21	Barito Putera - Persela Lamongan	1:1 ✺
25.10.21	Persela Lamongan - Persik Kediri	1:0 ✺
21.10.21	Persebaya Surabaya - Persela Lamongan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWT
- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
18.11.21	Borneo Samarinda - Persipura Jayapura	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	PSIS Semarang - Borneo Samarinda	0:1 ✺
01.11.21	Borneo Samarinda - PSS Sleman	1:2 ✺
27.10.21	Bhayangkara - Borneo Samarinda	2:1 ✺
22.10.21	Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
13.03.20	Borneo Samarinda - Persela Lamongan	2:1
27.11.19	Borneo Samarinda - Persela Lamongan	1:2
29.07.19	Persela Lamongan - Borneo Samarinda	2:2
26.11.18	Borneo Samarinda - Persela Lamongan	3:2
11.07.18	Persela Lamongan - Borneo Samarinda	2:0
19.10.17	Borneo Samarinda - Persela Lamongan	4:2
08.07.17	Persela Lamongan - Borneo Samarinda	3:1

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